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1:00

Welcome crypto fam to the number

1:02

one daily Bitcoin pod. Bitcoin smashed

1:04

60 AGs today. Make some noise

1:06

for that. In today's show, be

1:08

sharing the latest technical analysis as

1:10

well as breaking news. El Salvador's

1:13

first Bitcoin bank is prepped now.

1:15

Also, Elon moved 760 million worth

1:17

of Bitcoin from

1:20

Tesla to unknown wallets last night.

1:22

Max responded he's depositing it to

1:24

Howard Lutnick's new Bitcoin bank, and

1:26

he'll use it as collateral to

1:28

borrow. We'll also be discussing a

1:30

Trump pump as Bitcoin climbs to

1:32

two and a half month high

1:34

as Trump widens the lead above

1:36

20% above, of course, Harris.

1:40

We'll also be discussing micro strategy shares soar 1,540%

1:42

since 2020, outperforming the S&P 500 as

1:49

well as breaking news. Italy considers raising

1:51

capital gains tax on Bitcoin until 42%

1:54

from 26%. We'll

1:57

also be discussing Bitcoin dominance hits a

1:59

three and a half. year high against

2:01

the alts as many get left behind.

2:03

We'll also be discussing a very

2:06

bullish outturn here. Lights go

2:08

mega green. Trader unveils $142,000

2:11

massive price target for Bitcoin following

2:13

an abrupt Bitcoin rally. We'll also

2:15

be taking a look at the

2:17

overall crypto market. All this, plus

2:20

so much more in today's show. Yo,

2:29

what's good crypto fam? This is

2:31

first and foremost, a video show.

2:34

So if you want the full

2:36

premium experience with video, visit my

2:38

YouTube channel at cryptonewsalerts.net. Again, that's

2:40

cryptonewsalerts.net. Today is pod episode 1789.

2:43

I'm your host, JV. It's October

2:45

16, 2024. October! In

2:51

full effect, we already captured 68.

2:53

We're very close to price discovery,

2:55

which we achieved in mid-March,

2:57

which is currently standing at $73,800. Let's kick it

2:59

off with our market watch as

3:03

we do each and every day. Bitcoin in the green,

3:05

baby. Up 1.25%, trading above $67,700. We

3:10

have Ether up 0.7%, trading above $2,600. Doge, one of the top gainers, up

3:12

9%, trading at looks

3:18

like 12.5 cents. We'll also

3:20

check out CoinMarketCap right here.

3:22

Current crypto market cap stands

3:24

at $2.32 trillion. Bitcoin market

3:26

cap on the climb, I love it,

3:28

$1.33 trillion. And the volume,

3:32

$92 billion in the past

3:34

24 hours. And the Bitcoin dominance has

3:36

been on a tear, all the way

3:38

up to 57.7%, leaving many of these

3:41

alts in the dust as ETH dominance

3:43

is down to 13.6%. And we'll be

3:47

discussing the Bitcoin dominance metric in

3:50

greater detail a little later. And

3:52

checking out top 100 crypto gainers

3:54

past 24 hours. Ironically, enough FTT

3:56

leading the pack with 16% gain.

4:00

We have dogecoin up 10% and helium up 4%

4:05

Which all to the fainy are you bullish

4:07

on for the bull? How ledge a boy and

4:09

check it out crypto bubbles We get a

4:11

visual perspective on the day Hmm,

4:14

I'd say 60 40 in the red overall in the

4:16

market and zoom it out on the monthly It's

4:19

like 90% in the green some impressive gainers

4:22

around the clock here and checking out the

4:24

crypto green in fear index today We're back

4:26

in the 70s 73 greed

4:28

yesterday 65 last week of 49 neutral

4:30

and 39 fear for last month

4:32

and check it out The infamous time

4:35

chain calendar. We have 184,000 blocks

4:38

to go into the next having we're currently on

4:40

block 865,000 and 129

4:44

and you can currently trade one US

4:46

dollar for 1476 Satoshi's

4:48

a few days ago. It was above

4:51

1600 yesterday was above 1500 the longer

4:53

you wait the more you lolly-gag

4:56

Unfortunately that conversion is going to continue

4:58

to go down. So stack sats Accordingly,

5:01

let's dive into today's technical

5:04

analysis aka Astrology

5:06

for the broskis it reads Bitcoin

5:08

risk exit pump on three-month DXY

5:11

highs as Bitcoin price hits 68,000

5:15

but before we even dive deeper into the TA

5:17

let's just pull up some interesting

5:20

news breaking max tweeted El Salvador's

5:22

first Bitcoin bank is being prepped

5:24

now The impact on the

5:26

El Salvador economy will be 10x what

5:28

the current iteration of the volcano bond

5:30

might be move here deposit

5:32

of Bitcoin at the Bitcoin bank

5:34

borrow fiat and buy property your

5:37

Bitcoin and Property rocket ship

5:39

to the moon the cost basis for

5:41

your property drops every year and also

5:43

big news the other day Tesla moved

5:46

760 million worth of Bitcoin to an unknown wallet So

5:49

their questioning is Elon selling max

5:51

responded He's depositing it at Howard

5:53

Lutnick's new Bitcoin bank and he'll

5:55

use it as collateral to borrow

5:57

against so there you go back

6:00

our TAO. Here you're looking at the one

6:02

hour chart, Bitcoin's circle 60 AGs, October 16th

6:04

after setting

6:06

new 11 week highs into the Wall

6:08

Street Open. Gotta love that. Trading

6:11

views showed Bitcoin price upside resuming

6:13

as the bulls eclipsed the peak

6:15

of a leverage driven fakeout just

6:17

the day before. Volatility was noticeable,

6:19

analyzing orderable conditions. Gu warned over

6:22

manipulation quoting him here, very active

6:24

spoofing going on here today. 1%

6:27

to 2.5% gap between ask and

6:29

bid liquidity. So without passive flows, there

6:31

is room for taker driven volatility today.

6:34

And here's that was the five minute

6:36

chart you're looking at right there. Scue

6:39

noted that below 67 late long

6:41

positions on derivative markets where risk

6:43

of collapsing and a liquidation cascade.

6:45

The bulk of the buy impression

6:47

pressure came from finance and bit

6:49

for next spot buyers around the

6:51

Wall Street Open who mimic the

6:53

moves from the day prior and

6:55

quoting material indicators. Fire charts bin

6:57

CBD once again shows all order

6:59

classes buying the Bitcoin. Bid liquidity

7:01

is stacking above 66,000 and

7:03

70,000 is coming into focus.

7:05

Do the Bitcoin bulls have enough

7:08

momentum to make a sustainable run

7:10

to the all time high territory?

7:12

I propose the same question in my

7:15

poll. So please do answer. So

7:17

some were more than confident that sellers

7:19

could capitulate and return of the bull

7:21

market and quoting a crypto analyst, McAlvin

7:23

day pop. Bitcoin is aiming for the

7:25

new all time highs. He predicted the

7:27

trend has switched. I think we'll see

7:29

this happening in the next three to

7:32

four weeks. Send it. We'll

7:34

see that new all time high and

7:36

likely $90,000 per bitty before the end

7:38

of the year. Let me know if

7:41

you agree disagree with McAlvin day pop.

7:43

Now dollar surge makes Bitcoin traders nervous

7:45

and a curious contrast Bitcoin slash USD

7:48

gained in tandem with the US dollar.

7:50

The two indexes breaking with their traditional

7:52

inverse correlation. The US dollar index we

7:54

know is the DXY reached 103 its

7:57

highest level since August 8th

7:59

and day on which Bitcoin had a major upside of

8:02

nearly 12%. I

8:04

mean, obviously Bitcoin will continue to go

8:06

up in purchasing power as the dollar

8:09

will continue to go down. That's a

8:11

mathematical certainty. And checking out some

8:13

of the live charts. So some live TNA for

8:15

the fam here. This is via

8:17

Trading View via Coinbase. This is the

8:19

one hour chart. You can see yesterday

8:22

massive bullish momentum with that crazy big

8:24

Godzilla green candle, but it was immediately

8:26

followed by a correction back down. And

8:28

then we've been inching back and we're

8:30

currently at that 68,000 level right now.

8:32

So 70,000

8:35

in play. New all time high price discovery,

8:37

73.8 in play as well.

8:39

If you're to ask me, especially here in

8:41

October and checking out the four hour chart.

8:44

Very bullish. I love it. Look at that. We

8:46

do have a green target at 81.3 and we

8:48

do have a bear target in the green at

8:50

47.9, practically 48, but

8:53

looking pretty strong here overall and checking out

8:56

the one day chart. Uh,

8:58

one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, uh,

9:01

six of the past seven daily candle

9:03

closes were pretty impressive green bullish candles

9:05

with it. Itty bitty corrective red a

9:07

few days ago. So I think this

9:09

bullish momentum likely to continue here in

9:12

Q four. Let me know your thoughts.

9:14

Clearly there's a massive rising wedge formation,

9:16

very bullish and zoom out from there.

9:18

Let's check out the weekly chart survey

9:21

says, uh, we have

9:23

a cup and handle pattern sitting at 123,800

9:25

target. Pretty

9:29

lit. I personally think we are likely to hit this

9:31

here in Q four as well. Let me know your

9:33

thoughts and I'll read those comments out loud. But first

9:35

let's take a quick check at

9:37

the one month chart. Uh,

9:40

bullish momentum. I think likely to continue

9:42

into a strong October close followed by

9:44

a strong November and December close to

9:46

wrap up 2024 heading into 2025. And

9:49

I think in 2025, we

9:52

most likely hit the cycle peak for the cycle and

9:54

we may have a continued cycle as well. Let me

9:56

know your thoughts and shout out to anyone, everyone here

9:58

in the stream. Let's discuss

10:00

the Trump pump. Headline here, Trump

10:03

pump, Bitcoin climbs two and a half

10:05

month high. As Trump widens the lead,

10:07

I mean, here's the poly market data.

10:10

Pro Bitcoin, Donald Trump takes the biggest lead

10:12

in the election thus far. Up 20% in

10:14

the odds. And

10:16

this is legit because there's actually money on this.

10:19

Donald has 567 million in volume and Kamala 384 million. So

10:25

her chances are all the way down to 39.9% as far as the

10:28

odds are concerned. And

10:30

Trump above 60%. Let's go. So

10:33

yeah, Bitcoin price reach a

10:35

more than a two and a half month high

10:37

as it's correlation with Trump's election winning odds seem

10:39

to align. The Bitcoin price rose almost 10% over

10:41

the past weeks are passing 68.2 for the first

10:43

time since the end of July. The

10:47

rally occurred shortly after Trump's lead over Vice

10:49

President Harris rose to a record high in

10:51

the leading decentralized predictions market. That's

10:54

right. Trump's odds of winning the presidential election

10:56

stood at 60% while Harris

10:58

lit the 39%. Well,

11:00

well, sorry, tis what it

11:02

is. But that's according to

11:04

data today, October 16th, according to the poly market

11:06

data I just pulled up. Now

11:09

Trump is generally seen as a more

11:11

innovation friendly candidate for the crypto space.

11:13

While some investors are concerned that a

11:15

potential Harris presidency could stifle or will

11:18

stifle blockchain innovation through more restrictive regulations.

11:20

I think that's a given. What are

11:22

your thoughts? Now Peter Schiff calls Bitcoin

11:25

a Trump pump. While the

11:27

Bitcoin price is influenced by various

11:29

factors, economist Shifty labeled the current

11:31

rally as a meaningless Trump inspired

11:33

rally, quoting the shiftmeister. While everyone

11:35

is focused on the meaningless Trump

11:37

inspired Bitcoin pump, they're missing the

11:40

significance of gold hitting another record

11:42

high above 2680. Bitcoin

11:44

may be up more, but it is remain

11:47

range bound for seven months as gold sets

11:49

one record high after another. And

11:51

I think he's referring to like gold breaking

11:54

out hitting maybe 20 or so

11:56

respective all time highs, but it's still under

11:58

$2,700. Right? So,

12:01

it is what it is. The poly-market odds

12:03

flipped in Trump's favor back on October 4th,

12:06

marking a sharp reversal from September. And by

12:08

October 12th, Trump was leading by 10 points.

12:10

The Bitcoin price bottomed above 60,300 October 10th,

12:13

days after Trump began the lead. The

12:17

price has risen more than 13% since its

12:20

monthly bottom on October 10th. So

12:22

is Bitcoin sentiment correlated with Trump's election

12:24

odds? Well, according to Thomas Farrer, CEO

12:26

of the crypto focus review platform Apollo,

12:28

he also sees an apparent correlation between

12:31

Trump election odds and the Bitcoin price,

12:33

quoting them here, for every 1% rise

12:35

in the Trump probability of winning. Bitcoin

12:37

price rises by $1,000. Well

12:41

let that metric continue to soar. Trump's

12:43

odds winning the election seem to have a direct correlation

12:46

with the crypto investor sentiment. The crypto

12:48

green and fear index also switched from

12:50

fear to neutral to now in

12:52

greed, just like that. So

12:55

you already know. But anyways, let

12:58

me know your thoughts. Do you think

13:00

this gap will continue to widen and

13:02

Trump's odds of winning the presidential election

13:04

according to poly-market will increase? Or

13:06

do you think this will, you know, the

13:09

opposite of widen, lessen? Let

13:11

me know your thoughts. And yeah, welcome everyone

13:14

just joined the stream, what's popping. MSTR, as

13:16

you know, has been making headlines. MicroStrategy

13:18

shares store 1,540% since 2020, obviously outperforming

13:21

the S&P 500. Their

13:26

stocks outperformed every single company in

13:28

the S&P since 2020, fueling market

13:30

expectations for more continued bullish momentum.

13:33

MicroStrategy shares have seen significant growth over the

13:36

past four years, according to our camera intelligence

13:38

firm. They shared

13:40

here MicroStrategy has outperformed every company

13:42

in the S&P since August of

13:44

2020. Quite impressive.

13:46

The data comes nearly three weeks

13:48

after leverage MicroStrategy ETF surpassed 400

13:50

million in that assets driven by

13:52

retail investor appetite for leveraged Bitcoin

13:54

exposure. MicroStrategy is one of the

13:56

first public trade companies to hold

13:58

the Bitcoin. on the balance

14:01

sheet. Microstrategy stock could have headed for

14:03

more upside momentum, according to analyst Tyler

14:05

Durden, who shared the following. The secret

14:07

Wall Street doesn't want you to know

14:09

is the bigger the gray box, the

14:12

bigger the bounce, bounce, come on, bounce.

14:14

His analysis suggests microstrategy stock continued to rise,

14:17

and over the past four years, microstrategy price

14:19

surged by more than 1,540%, while

14:22

the S&P grew just by 111%. Yeah, so

14:24

despite microstrategy strong performance, the

14:29

company is unlikely to be added to

14:31

the S&P 500 anytime soon, according to

14:33

market participants. Interesting. And

14:36

S&P 500 listing is probably not coming

14:38

anytime soon, said Kim, associate professor of

14:40

finance at Santa Clara University, Levy School

14:42

of Business. What are these business professionals

14:44

from universities really know at the end

14:46

of the day? I'm just questioning everything.

14:49

What is concerning for MSTR is that

14:51

a candidate for listing on the S&P

14:53

must have been profitable in the most

14:55

recent year and quarter to qualify. And

14:57

according to Kim, microstrategy had consistently seen

14:59

a negative bottom line with the exception

15:02

of the fourth quarter of 2023, which

15:04

was insufficient to

15:06

bring it to the overall positive net

15:09

income. Well, I think microstrategy

15:11

will continue to outpace every single

15:13

stock in the S&P 500, regardless

15:15

if it's in or not, you

15:17

got to be in, you

15:20

got to jump in to swim. But

15:22

nonetheless, microstrategy has been crushing it. It's

15:24

even been outperforming, obviously,

15:27

even Bitcoin. So let me know if

15:29

you think that trend will likely continue.

15:31

And shout out to the gigachad, Mikey

15:34

Saylor. And speaking of Mikey Saylor, which

15:36

one's the best crypto asset? Well, Bitcoin

15:38

is the best crypto asset. What's the

15:40

second best? There is no second best.

15:43

I'm sorry. I lied. I'm number

15:46

1234. Let's continue with the

15:48

headlines. Capital gains

15:50

tax. I wasn't so fond to

15:52

see this headline. Italy considers raising

15:54

capital gains tax on Bitcoin to

15:57

42%. 42% 42%

16:02

from 26 which I take it is

16:04

where it's currently at so let's break this one down The

16:07

Italiano government is considering increasing the capital

16:09

gains tax for investments in Bitcoin to

16:11

a 42% from

16:13

26% according to deputy economy

16:15

minister Leo Speaking

16:18

at a news conference in Shiggy October

16:20

16th He commented on

16:22

Italy's new budget bill which the

16:24

Council of ministers approved The minister

16:26

said the withholding tax on Bitcoin

16:28

capital gains should rise to 42% according

16:31

to the budget bill I think that is

16:33

theft at the end of the day. However,

16:36

I think it'll encourage more hodling So

16:38

I mean that's the silver lining really who the hell is going

16:40

to want to sell their Bitcoin to pay a 42% Capital

16:43

gains tax, right? Would you let me

16:46

know Leo also said the bill would

16:48

remove the minimum revenue Requirement for Italy's

16:50

web tax or the digital service tax

16:52

which was introduced as part of the

16:54

country's budget in 2019 the

16:56

digital service tax now applies to companies that generate

16:59

at least 750 million euros Which

17:02

is 817 million USD in the past

17:04

calendar year Well, that's pretty substantial and

17:06

at least 5.5 million euros

17:08

6 million USD in revenue from the operating

17:11

digital services in Italy according to

17:13

the minister on capital gains from Bitcoin the withholding

17:15

tax increases from 26 to 42% On

17:19

web tax revenue. We are working to eliminate the

17:21

ceiling of 750 million euros and 5 million in

17:23

Italy Therefore

17:25

we're eliminating the threshold. See I can't

17:27

stand taxes even to begin with So

17:30

you're a know my stance on increasing

17:32

taxes, especially when it comes to Bitcoin

17:34

The news came as Italy's government approved

17:37

the 30 billion euro budget 33 billion

17:39

USD that is for 2025

17:42

which would be partly funded by a

17:44

levy on the Italiano banks and issuers

17:47

And according to the Associated Press report the

17:50

new budget measures have yet to receive a

17:52

nod from the Italian Parliament a final Vote

17:54

is expected by the end of the year.

17:56

Well, hopefully they vote that ish down and

17:58

on October 15th Prime Minister Giorgia,

18:00

Malani announced that

18:03

the Italian government is expected to raise 3.5 billion

18:05

euros from banks and insurance companies to

18:07

improve public services and help the most

18:10

vulnerable citizens, quoting Malani here. As we

18:12

promised, there will be no new taxes

18:14

for citizens. I dig, Malani, and I

18:16

like that sentiment. Health care and the

18:18

most vulnerable to ensure better services. Well

18:20

said. Now, Italy's Senate increased the capital

18:22

gains tax on crypto asset trading over

18:24

2,000 euros to 26% late 2022 as

18:26

part of its approved budget for 2023.

18:34

Now, speaking of taxes, I also hear

18:36

Harris is looking to increase

18:38

capital gains tax on investments

18:41

as well in the States from 20%, which

18:44

is my understanding where it's currently at, to 45%

18:46

more than double. That's like 150% increase, correct me

18:48

if I'm wrong, but

18:52

don't sound so good. And then she looks

18:54

to add a new tax unprecedented,

18:56

which would be a tax on

18:59

unrealized gains. Imagine that. Imagine

19:02

being a hodler and

19:04

being a disciplined investor, whether it's with

19:06

real estate, gold, whatever,

19:08

Bitcoin, crypto, and then having

19:11

to pay an insane unrealized

19:14

gains tax for something unrealized

19:16

that you haven't even taken

19:18

advantage of. Insanity. So

19:21

I hope that doesn't turn into fruition, but

19:23

that's what we're up against right now. Headline

19:25

here reads Bitcoin Dom hits 3.5% year

19:29

high as the altcoins get left behind.

19:31

Three and a half year high. Let's

19:33

go. That's right. The Bitcoin market

19:35

share reached its highest levels since April of

19:38

2021 as the crypto price continued to climb

19:40

amid a muted altcoin market. Sorry, alt. Bitcoin's

19:42

dominance hit a three and a half year

19:44

high of 58.77%. During

19:48

late trading yesterday, October 15th, the same time

19:50

it hit a 10 week high of 67.8,

19:54

according to TradingView. And since then we're

19:56

even higher. We're now above 68.2 and

19:58

Bitcoin retrades. soon,

24:00

obviously. I thought it was already going

24:02

to happen and was wrong on the

24:04

time we would spend in this range.

24:07

But this looks really constructive for a

24:09

new all-time high, with the bottom rounding

24:11

off and having so much time up

24:13

here. That's right. Hoping for

24:16

those who have been patient that this

24:18

is rewarded soon for you all. Are

24:20

you ready to reap those rewards? And

24:22

what are your thoughts regarding the $142,000

24:24

target and by what month do you

24:26

think we'll likely ascend to $142,000? Here's

24:30

my personal prediction. My

24:32

scenario for Cycle

24:35

Peak, I believe it's still going to be

24:37

in 2025 because historically that's what history has

24:39

shown us. Every year preceding

24:41

the halving, we hit the Cycle

24:43

Peak. This was true for the

24:45

first three halvings. We just entered

24:47

the fourth halving on April 19th

24:49

where the minor rewards got slashed

24:51

in half. So back in 2012

24:55

was the first halving, 2013 Cycle

24:58

Peak all-time high. Then 2016 halving, next year 2017

25:00

Cycle Peak

25:02

all-time high was roughly 20 Gs. I remember that was

25:04

the year I got involved. And then 2020 next

25:07

halving, following year it was November 10th

25:09

of 2021, we hit the all-time high.

25:12

So that was in Q4 as well.

25:14

And that was 69 Gs.

25:16

We're currently just on the cusp of

25:18

reclaiming that previous cycle peak. And again,

25:21

this is the year of the halving.

25:23

So my prediction, Q4, I think we

25:25

hit that weekly cup and handle pattern

25:27

target, which is currently 123,000. I think

25:30

that occurs sometime between now and

25:34

December, Q4 of 2024. But I do think

25:37

the Cycle Peak will occur sometime next year.

25:39

I don't know if it'll be the first

25:41

quarter, second, third, or fourth quarter. I have

25:43

no idea, but I am pretty confident we're

25:45

going to hit multiple six figures. I think

25:47

we can go as high for a bull

25:50

scenario, 750,000 per coin. Bear scenario, in my

25:52

humble opinion, 222,000 per coin. So the medium.

26:00

average would be ballpark quarter or not quarter

26:02

million, but a half a million per coin

26:04

right in alignment with plan B stock to

26:06

flow model. Let me know if you guys

26:08

agree or disagree with that bullish price trajectory.

26:10

And what about 142 JV? Yeah, I think

26:12

that will most likely happen in Q1 of

26:14

2025. Let me know if you agree, disagree,

26:16

light up the chat. I appreciate it. I'm

26:18

going to read your comments out loud and

26:20

welcome everyone to the Q&A segment of the

26:22

live stream. We've got 919 people here live

26:25

and in the flesh on Axe Rumble and

26:27

the YouTube. Jen Murphy says, I think 142,000

26:29

by spring 2025 is reasonable. Right on. Thank you

26:33

for sharing. You're not bullish enough.

26:35

Right on. Next October will melt

26:37

faces. I agree with you there,

26:39

JBZ. I hope 74,000 will

26:41

one hand want to buy more, but 100,000 on the

26:45

other. Let's go, Jose. Welcome,

26:48

y'all. Yeah. Also, there's a live

26:50

poll. October Bitcoin price peak prediction.

26:52

If you're on the YouTube, make

26:54

sure to let us know

26:56

where you think we'll likely be. I'm about

26:59

to end the poll and then we're going

27:01

to read the results here any moment. So

27:04

welcome, y'all, just joining us. Let

27:06

me know your thoughts regarding some of these predictions and

27:08

targets I share with you from the analysts. And here

27:10

we go. Surveys in. October Bitcoin

27:13

price peak prediction. 42% of you say between

27:15

68 and 73,000. 31% of

27:20

you say 74 and 79 G's. 13% say 85,000 plus and 12% say between 80 and 84,000

27:22

dollars. That was

27:29

out of 188 votes. So thank you for participating. Laser

27:31

says 140, 245 is the next leg up and the

27:34

January the consolidation towards 105 can't

27:37

stack stats fast enough. The realist ish

27:40

I've ever heard. And don't forget to

27:42

check out cryptonewsalerts.net for the full premium

27:44

experience with video and to participate in

27:47

our live Q&A. And I look forward

27:49

to seeing you on tomorrow's episode. HODL.

28:00

you